July 31st, 2010
Baby Bull Needs to Pull Upset Tonight & a Longshot for Pocono
PUG LIFE…Juan Manuel Marquez and Juan “Baby Bull” Diaz meet tonight in a rematch of their 2009 “Fight of the Year” encounter. In the interim Marquez has lost to Floyd Mayweather and Diaz split a pair with Paul Malignaggi. The stakes are still high, with Marquez angling for a Dec. date with Amir Khan and then, possibly, a third slugfest with Manny Pacquiao. Diaz is looking to put some life back into what was once a very promising career…Marquez, who turns 37 on Aug 23rd, is a prohibitive -450 favourite (Diaz +360). In the first fight he needed every ounce of grit and determination at his disposal to rally and win. Can an older fighter be counted on to duplicate such heroics? I suggest taking the price on the Baby Bull. The momentum, the potential “big” fights, all seem to center on Marquez winning tonight. When does boxing ever cooperate? Diaz has been forgotten and is presumed to be nothing more than a stepping stone. At the hefty odds I’ll look for a disruptive upset…
…rumours of Floyd Mayweather Jr meeting Miguel Cotto in the fall appear to have been wishful thinking. Good. Cotto matches up abysmally with “Money”. He could never be expected to cope with the foot speed of Mayweather and would have been the recipient of another drubbing. His prospects in a rematch against Pac Man are far more favourable, particularly if he is allowed to fight at 154 (and not the 145 demanded in their first fight)…of course, Cotto needs the Margarito fight to fall apart, an unlikely prospect, for another chance at the Filipino…
…rumour that won’t go away has Cotto fighting Julio Caesar Chavez Jr on Dec 4th in Las Vegas. That seems a bit rash on Chavez’s part but, well, after joining them miraculous Freddie Roach camp fighters just seem, I don’t know, bigger, stronger and impervious to fatigue…
ICE…Leaf fans can dream, can’t they? Could the Anaheim Ducks seemingly ludicrous decision to move their top offensive defenseman, James Wisniewski, to Long Island for a song be the first step in a Bobby Ryan - Tomas Kaberle deal?…
…could Philadelphia really be poised to go through another year with Michael Leighton and Brian Boucher as their netminders? A tepid offer to Marty Turco and an insult to Evengi Nabokov appears to be all the off season work the Black & Orange were prepared to do to address their most serious shortcoming…
…Dominic Moore is a very nice pick-up for the Tampa Bay Lightning. With the Bolts Moore will be asked to perform third line duties, a role conducive to the best possible expression of his talents and abilities. It is Moore’s eighth team in a seven year career…
GRID IRON…is Washington’s Mike Shanahan enjoying his current status as the NFL’s most popular man? Shanahan is remaking the Redskins and his showdown with Albert Haynesworth resulted with a knockout win for the head coach. Haynesworth has been a “model” citizen after Shanahan humiliated the tackle by refusing to let him practice until he passes a physical…Shanahan’s son Kyle, the new offensive coordinator, crafted the Houston Texan aerial attack that was tops in the league last season. He should be delighted to be working with Donovan McNabb…the Skins open their season against Dallas, a match already looming as a dazzling Week 1 brawl…
…Randy Moss is in the final year of his New England Patriot contract. Think this will inspire the vacuous one? Moss is deigning to participate in “two a day” drills in Foxboro, instead of begging off, an indication he knows his chance of scoring a deal depends entirely on what he accomplishes this year…
RANDOM…the Miami Heat have been installed as 9-5 favourites to win the NBA Championship in 2011. The Los Angeles Lakers can be had for 3-1. Next in line are Orlando, Chicago and Boston at, respectively, 12, 16 and 18 to 1…the Toronto Raptors represent no value whatsoever, even at 125 to 1…
…the Indianapolis Colts and the San Diego Charges, at 9-1, are current co-favourites to win the 2011 Superbowl (how anyone could take those odds on the Chargers without knowing the status of Marcus McNeil is beyond me). Closing fast, at 10 to 1 are Baltimore, Green Bay and Dallas. The Cowboys are receiving a ton of hype, so their shortening price is understandable. The Ravens and the Pack, on the other hand, are being pounded by sharp action, including the bucks of yours truly. Those are two teams set for brilliant years, lead by their punishing and unforgiving defenses…the New York Jets are available at 12-1. That is a team that has massive potential on D but has made some shocking off season moves, dumping loads of character while adding high profile question marks. The core is solid but I’m predicting lots of distractions when the grind of the season begins…
…I’ve taken Mark Martin at 25-1 to annex the Pocono NASCAR event tomorrow. The increasing desperate Hendricks driver, 13th in the overall standings and one spot out of The Chase, returns to what has historically been one of his favourite tracks. He represents value at that price…